Rising Oil and Yields Create Fresh Headwinds for Equity Markets Global Developments: Crude prices jumped again this week on unfavorable geopoltical developments. Saudi Arabia has closed its East-West pipeline, a key alternative to SoH, given multiple attacks.US August CPI print came in line with expectations. Focus next week will be...
Hard Assets Outperform as Equities See Continued Sector Rotation Global Developments: Fed chair Warsh sounded hawkish in his speech at annual Jackson Hole symposium. This drove US yields and Dollar higher. Trump said US had struck a deal with Venezuela wherein it would control a large part of Venezuelan oil...
Nifty Holds Range as Investors Look Beyond Large Caps for Alpha Global Developments: US treasury said this week that it would at least double buyback of longer dated US Treasuries. This is to reduce borrowing costs as long term yields are extremely elevated. This led to a brief rally in...
Equity Markets Await a Catalyst as Volatility Hits Multi-Month Lows Global Developments: RBI said that so far USD 56.9bn had been received under its swap facility with USD 52.3bn in the form of FCNR B deposits. Encouraged by the response, it announced early closure of FCNR B swap window on...
Equities Edge Higher; Focus Shifts to Sector Allocation Global Developments:Risk sentiment was positive into the start of the week with Trump canceling strikes over last weekend. Reports of Iran considering barring US ships through SoH in an agreement with Oman dented sentiment a bit mid-week. Top military officials have been...
Markets Stay Resilient, Upside Breakout Remains in Focus Global Developments: All three major central banks i.e. Fed, BoJ and BoE kept rates unchanged this week. However, there were hawkish dissents in all three committees US 10y yield is very close to this year’s high. The Dollar index however plunged this...
Markets Search for Direction as Earnings and Macro Forces Collide Global Developments: This time around Trump has not yet pivoted to a reconciliatory tone with Iran after an escalation and that keeps sentiment on the edge. US has struck Iran everyday for almost 2 weeks now. Ship Passage through SoH...
Domestic Markets Hold Firm as Global Equities Face Pressure Global Developments: US continued to strike Iran this week while Iran retaliated by striking US military bases in Kuwait and Bahrain. US has struck Iran for 7 straight days now. The versions of whether both sides will get back to the...
Fragile US-Iran Ceasefire Drives Market Volatility Global Developments: Strikes from both sides i.e. US and Iran followed by comments from Trump that ceasefire with Iran was over, jolted risk sentiment. Immediate ask from US is that Iran declare the SoH open to shipping and assure that they will not attack...
Staying Invested Through Global Market Shifts Global Developments: Reopening of the Strait of Hormuz and passage of vessels through the Strait drove down energy prices and therefore inflation expectations and global bond yields. De-crowding in Semicondictor names pushed US equities lower, stoking a contagion in Asian chip manufacturers as well,...
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